Farmers Insurance Open golf predictions, odds and picks for Tomorrow, 01/22/25

The withdrawals of Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa open the door for Ludvig Aberg to step up and win a 2nd PGA Tour title at a venue where his tee-to-green class is a big asset. The 25-year-old Swede battled through a knee injury throughout 2024, undergoing surgery after the Tour Championship, but he returned to finish 17th at the RSM Classic, then he placed 6th in the Hero World Challenge and 5th in the Sentry. Despite his injury, Aberg still posted 8 top-10 finishes last season, including at the Farmers, finishing 9th on debut behind shock winner Matthieu Pavon. He looks a huge contender for this title.

Aberg’s biggest challenge could come from Max Homa, who has not been at his best over the last few months but looks overpriced when taking into account his affinity with his home state of California, allied with a pair of promising ball-striking displays at the Nedbank and the Sentry. Homa adores Torrey, where he won in 2023 and was 13th last season, and he’s almost always at his best in the Golden State.

Stephan Jaeger, 3rd in both the Sony Open a fortnight ago and at Torrey Pines 12 months ago, is an increasing presence on PGA Tour leaderboards. He’s well-equipped to handle the South Course and could be a contender.