UNLV Rebels vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Friday, 11/22/24

We head to the Mountain West on Friday night for a UNLV Running Rebels vs San Jose State Spartans prediction. Both teams are bowl eligible already, and UNLV is still in the hunt for the conference title game. They will need some help, but all in all, this team has rallied nicely after the early-season quarterback NIL fiasco. My expectation for this game is that we will see both teams trading scores all night long, and the expected point total north of 60 is quite realistic. This one should be an absolute shootout, and I expect it to stay close. I think you could play the game total over, but as long as this spread is above a touchdown, my UNLV vs San Jose State pick is the Spartans +7.5.

What we have here is a perfect setup for the offenses. Both teams’ offensive specialties coincide with the weaknesses of the opposing defenses. UNLV is a run heavy scheme in their go-go offense, and San Jose State is awful against the run. The Spartans, on the other hand, prefer to throw the ball as much as possible, and UNLV ranks outside the top 100 in passing defense. Both teams should be able to stay in their preferred mode of attack, and both defenses will struggle to defend it. San Jose State got their turn at being run over by Ashton Jeanty last week (32 carries, 159 yards, 3 touchdowns), but they were in that game until the very end, and they forced Boise to throw it a fair amount too. I think the Spartans might be a bit sturdier than the casual fan would expect, and I like their chances of keeping this game a 1-possession game. This one has the potential to be totally wild though.

UNLV vs San Jose State Prediction: San Jose State +7.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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