Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tuesday, 10/15/24

The Troy Trojans head down to Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Ala. looking for their second victory of the season. It’s been tough sledding for Troy, as it has just not been the same powerhouse team since Jon Sumrall left for the Tulane job. The offense has struggled, and Troy is 0-5 SU in five tries against FBS opponents, with its lone win coming against Florida A&M on Sept. 21. The Trojans are also struggling to put points on the board, managing just 26 total points in the past two games. Troy has won six straight meetings in this series, but we’re not getting tricked by that again. Troy also had never lost at home to Texas State, and it was annihilated 38-17 last time out. The best bet is to play the total.

The Under has cashed in three in a row for Troy, as the defense has allowed 13 or fewer points in two of the past three. South Alabama dropped 87 points on poor Northwestern State of the FCS, a team which came to Mobile with a hurricane hitting its home state of Louisiana. The Jaguars put up 48 points in App State on Sept. 19, but then it has forgotten how to play offense. The Jaguars have just 26 total points in the past two games, cashing low on the total at a 3-1-1 clip in the previous five outings. USA has also allowed 18 or fewer points in both of its Sun Belt games.

Troy vs South Alabama prediction: Under 55 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 53.5.

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