Texas Longhorns vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 11/30/24

Of all the big games on Saturday of college football Week 14 – and there are a few of them – the renewed rivalry between the Texas Longhorns (10-1) and the Texas A&M Aggies (9-2) figures to be the most significant of them all. The winner of this game will earn a date with Georgia in the SEC Championship, and therefore will still have a direct path to the College Football Playoff. In other words, both Texas and Texas A&M control their own destiny when it comes to the playoff. Win this game and the conference title game, and you’re in,. However, the playoff ramifications don’t even begin to cover the magnitude of this matchup. Texas vs Texas A&M was a longstanding annual rivalry for nearly 100 years before Texas A&M left the Big 12 for the SEC in 2011 without a promise to continue the annual tradition. As such, these renewed in-state rivals will play for the first time in over 13 years. For what it’s worth, Texas won in College Station in 2011 27-25. 

This game is a complete toss-up when it comes to the spread, but I will take the points with the home underdog under the lights of Kyle Field in College Station. Texas A&M has a very good defensive front that can apply pressure to Quinn Ewers, which is not something he has faced much of this year. In fact, he has only faced pressure on 25.9% of his dropbacks according to PFF, committing 4 turnover-worthy plays with 0 big-time throws against that pressure. With a well-rounded offense and a veteran quarterback, Texas should have enough to win this game by a few points, but the Aggies have the pieces defensively to make it extremely difficult for the Longhorns. Texas A&M keeps it close.

Texas vs Texas A&M prediction: Texas A&M Aggies +5.5 (-102) at the time of publishing. Playable to +4.5.  

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