Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Friday, 11/22/24

The Purdue Boilermakers hit the road looking to finish the season strong. Since a 50-49 OT loss at Illinois, it hasn’t gone for great for Purdue lately, scoring 30 total points with two shutout losses to Oregon and Ohio State. It suffered a 49-10 loss against Penn State at Ross-Ade Stadium as a 30-point underdog, and Purdue has failed to cash in four in a row, and eight of the past nine games. Purdue’s offense has been abysmal, going for just 318.6 total yards, 181.1 passing yards, 137.5 rushing yards and 17.2 points per game. The latter ranks 129th in the nation. Defensively, the Boilermakers are also awful, as you’d expect from a 1-9 team. Purdue has allowed 455.7 total yards, 252.4 passing yards, 203.3 rushing yards and 38.9 points per game.

For Michigan State, it has scored 17 or fewer points in each of the past three games, all non-covers as an underdog. The defense has allowed 42.5 PPG in the past two games to Illinois and Indiana, too. As a favorite this season, Michigan State is 0-2 ATS, too. The offense has scored 19 or fewer points in six of the past seven games, which is a problem considering it needs to win by two or more touchdowns to cover. If it does one thing well, it’s pass the football, as freshman QB Aidan Chiles has led the team to 230.8 yards per game through the air. And defensively, Michigan State ranks 45th or higher in total yards (328.1), passing yards (198.4) and rushing yards (129.7) per game. It’s risky, but back Sparty to cover, keeping hope alive for bowl eligibility.

Michigan State -13.5 (-110) at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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