Oklahoma Sooners vs LSU Tigers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 11/30/24

The Oklahoma Sooners take on the LSU Tigers in an SEC battle. Oklahoma is coming off its best win of the season — a 24-3 victory over Alabama — and is looking to build off that momentum to get to 7 wins on the season. The Sooners’ preseason win total was 7.5, so they won’t surpass that number — but a win to end the season might stave off fans calling for head coach Brent Venables’ job. LSU is also in the midst of a disappointing season but is coming off a win against Vanderbilt last week. The Tigers are 7-4 with a preseason win total of 9.5 so they aren’t getting there, either. The Tigers had lost 3 in a row before last week’s win and those losses were to bitter rivals Alabama, Texas A&M and Florida. LSU and head coach Brian Kelly would also like a win in this game to cool down his seat.

This is a game between a defensive-minded team and an offensive-minded opponent. The Sooners allow on average only 21.9 points per game and 319 yards per game, which ranks their defense 41st in the country. The Tigers average 29.1 points per game and 431.7 yards, which rans their offense 57th. Both teams lack on the other side of the ball, with Oklahoma ranking 90th on offense and LSU ranking 71st on defense. They say defense travels and I think Oklahoma’s defense will travel well in this game. Recency bias gets the best of us sometimes, but last week against Alabama — the 8th-ranked offense in the country — the Sooners defense held their opposition to just 3 points. They had not played like that all year, but if that unit plays like that again, they can cover in this game. The Sooners have also been covering spreads this year compared to LSU. Oklahoma is 5-5 ATS this season, while LSU is 3-7. The Tigers have also only covered 1 spread as favorites in SEC play. If the Sooners perform like they did last week, they can cover this spread if not even win outright.

Oklahoma vs LSU prediction: Oklahoma +6 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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