Miami Hurricanes vs Louisville Cardinals Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tomorrow, 10/19/24

The most consequential game in the ACC this weekend, and it features a couple of teams who were expected to be contenders in this league at the start of the season. While Louisville has ran into some trouble in recent weeks, with losses coming to Notre Dame and SMU in consecutive weeks, the Cardinals still have one of the better offenses in this conference and a coach in Jeff Brohm that is no stranger to success as an underdog. In fact, Brohm is 6-0 against AP Top 5 ranked teams as a home underdog. However, I’ll be sticking to a wager on the over for a game that I see both teams scoring plenty of points. For starters, the Cardinals offense is a balanced unit and Tyler Shough should see plenty of success against a Miami secondary that can be had. In fact, the Hurricanes surrendered 6 plays of 20+ yards against Virginia Tech and a whopping 7 plays of 20+ yards and 4 plays of 50+ yards(!) against California just a few weeks ago. There will be explosive plays available to this Louisville offense, and I trust that Brohm can dial up a few haymakers that lead to touchdowns for the Cardinals in this game.

On the other side, this Miami offense is stellar, which should come as no surprise to anyone who followed the massive additions to this roster in the offseason. Quarterback Cam Ward is a Heisman Trophy contender and he leads a Hurricanes passing offense that is 3rd in passing success rate, 4th in EPA per dropback and 6th in Early Downs EPA (College Football Insiders). Ward should hit plenty of explosiveness against a Louisville defense that is 107th in opponent passing success rate and 79th in EPA per pass. Both teams should continue to score throughout this game, and I’d be pretty surprised if Miami took its foot off the gas at any point in the second half given how the last few weeks have gone. Let’s take the over 59 for my best bet on this game.

Miami vs Louisville prediction: Over 59 available at time of publishing. Playable to 61.

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