Florida Gators vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 11/30/24
Florida vs Florida State Pickswise Expert Predictions
The Florida Gators take on the Florida State Seminoles in a big rivalry game. This is the end of the gauntlet for Florida, which has arguably the hardest schedule in the country and still has managed a 6-5 record The Gators have won 3 of their last 5 games including wins over Ole Miss and LSU. They would love a win to get to 7-5 and have already surpassed their preseason win total of 4.5. Florida State has had the opposite season with a 2-9 record and a preseason win total of 9.5, making it arguably the most disappointing team in the country. The Seminoles don’t have much to play for in this game other than beating their rivals and putting out some good tape for those entering the transfer portal, but they could still cover the 2-touchdown spread in this game.
Florida has looked very good when quarterback DJ Lagway is starting. He has started 4 games this year against Samford, Kentucky, LSU and Ole MIs. All 4 were wins. Lagway was injured for 2 of their bigger games against Texas and Georgia but has been back for 2 weeks now and notched wins over LSU and Ole Miss. He is just a freshman so there’s a lot of hope in Gainesville for the future, especially for Billy Napier who has been disappointing so far in his tenure. Florida State thought it was going to have an electric quarterback in DJ Uiagalelei, a transfer from Oregon State, but he has been disappointing — to say the least. The ‘Noles have the worst-ranked offense in the FBS averaging only 13.3 points and 258.9 yards per game. Defensively they are not much better ranking 100th nationally. Florida is only slightly better with the 64th-ranked offense and 89th-ranked defense, but only 4 games this season have been with Lagway under center. Florida is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games, while Florida State is 3-6-1 ATS. I like the Gators to go into Tallahassee and not only win but cover the spread. Florida State just doesn’t have any fight left in this season and Florida has everything to play for. I’m backing UF to cover on the road.
Florida vs Florida State prediction: Florida -15 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 16.5.
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